Colorado St
W-L: ( 2-11) PR = 64.4471Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Washington B10 ( 8- 4, 85.6) 21-38 906 H No Colorado 21-17 920 H UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 77.0) 16-17 927 H Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 3-20 1003 A San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 5, 77.5) 24-45 1010 H Fresno St MIDW ( 8- 4, 74.4) 49-21 1018 H Hawaii MIDW ( 8- 5, 76.2) 19-31 1025 A Wyoming MIDW ( 5- 7, 70.9) 0-28 1108 H UNLV MIDW ( 8- 5, 75.5) 10-42 1115 A New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 17-20 1122 A Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.1) 21-49 1128 H Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 72.4) 21-42 1129 H Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 72.4) 21-42
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Washington 21-38 -17 -26 0.00
920 H UTSA 16-17 -1 -7 +++ 6.29
927 H Wash St 3-20 -17 -12 -1.69
1003 A San Diego St 24-45 -21 -18 0.00
1010 H Fresno St 49-21 28 -5 +++ 18.73
1018 H Hawaii 19-31 -12 -6 -- -5.50
1025 A Wyoming 0-28 -28 -12 - -2.31
1108 H UNLV 10-42 -32 -6 --- -8.21
1115 A New Mexico 17-20 -3 -18 +++ 11.00
1122 A Boise State 21-49 -28 -21 0.00
1128 H Air Force 21-42 -21 -3 --- -11.32
1129 H Air Force 21-42 -21 -3 --- -11.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H UNLV 10-42 -32 -6 --- -8.21 1128 H Air Force 21-42 -21 -3 --- -11.32 1129 H Air Force 21-42 -21 -3 --- -11.32 1018 H Hawaii 19-31 -12 -6 -- -5.50 1025 A Wyoming 0-28 -28 -12 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 H UTSA 16-17 -1 -7 +++ 6.29 1010 H Fresno St 49-21 28 -5 +++ 18.73 1115 A New Mexico 17-20 -3 -18 +++ 11.00 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Washington ( 8- 4, 85.6) 21-38 -14.26 36.96 5.26 1.06 -4.78
3 H UTSA ( 7- 5, 77.0) 16-17 -22.90 28.32 -5.26 1.06 -14.96
3 H Wash St ( 7- 6, 82.0) 3-20 -17.88 33.34 -5.26 1.06 -12.29
3 A San Diego St ( 8- 5, 77.5) 24-45 -22.36 28.86 5.26 1.06 -9.08
3 H Fresno St ( 8- 4, 74.4) 49-21 -25.47 25.75 -5.26 1.06 43.55
3 H Hawaii ( 8- 5, 76.2) 19-31 -23.70 27.52 -5.26 1.06 -15.38
3 A Wyoming ( 5- 7, 70.9) 0-28 -29.02 22.20 5.26 1.06 -12.62
3 H UNLV ( 8- 5, 75.5) 10-42 -24.41 26.81 -5.26 1.06 -15.76
3 A New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 17-20 -22.39 28.83 5.26 1.06 -9.10
3 A Boise State ( 9- 4, 80.1) 21-49 -19.81 31.41 5.26 1.06 -7.73
3 H Air Force ( 5- 8, 72.4) 21-42 -27.51 23.71 -5.26 1.06 -17.41
3 H Air Force ( 5- 8, 72.4) 21-42 -27.51 23.71 -5.26 1.06 -17.41
------
-92.98
|
winning pts = 43.5466 losing points = -136.5304
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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